Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.644985 2.787651 2.936494 3.103835 3.287304 3.482979 3.708309
2025-11-09 2.362704 2.561651 2.779230 3.036681 3.335421 3.674222 4.092014
2025-11-16 2.195379 2.422828 2.679153 2.992806 3.371083 3.819125 4.400306
2025-11-23 2.101834 2.353767 2.644876 3.011452 3.468762 4.032068 4.798209
2025-11-30 2.019542 2.288772 2.606344 3.015995 3.542108 4.212974 5.165688
2025-12-07 1.911721 2.185118 2.512418 2.942109 3.506013 4.244215 5.328539
2025-12-14 1.820731 2.096399 2.430670 2.876311 3.472462 4.271619 5.482666
2025-12-21 1.763101 2.045459 2.392429 2.862542 3.504413 4.387304 5.772421
2025-12-28 1.711094 1.998675 2.356339 2.848162 3.532518 4.496999 6.061667
2026-01-04 1.664308 1.956150 2.323147 2.834776 3.559485 4.604833 6.357202
2026-01-11 1.633304 1.932260 2.312603 2.850638 3.627522 4.777028 6.776298
2026-01-18 1.603262 1.908139 2.300217 2.862475 3.689240 4.942947 7.204352
2026-01-25 1.562345 1.870199 2.270241 2.851609 3.721958 5.074686 7.608033
2026-02-01 1.505943 1.810182 2.208507 2.793020 3.679722 5.083485 7.788983
2026-02-08 1.460713 1.763369 2.162724 2.754718 3.665383 5.135754 8.059862
2026-02-15 1.437307 1.744896 2.154941 2.771002 3.736581 5.338002 8.665419
2026-02-22 1.411373 1.721930 2.139706 2.774968 3.787635 5.509171 9.238047
2026-03-01 1.364831 1.669323 2.080828 2.710399 3.722769 5.466102 9.326782
2026-03-08 1.322942 1.622006 2.027976 2.652786 3.666084 5.433303 9.434636
2026-03-15 1.297529 1.596715 2.005619 2.640716 3.684334 5.540912 9.895892
2026-03-22 1.273281 1.572322 1.983658 2.628105 3.700540 5.645557 10.371637
2026-03-29 1.250507 1.549337 1.962926 2.616362 3.717213 5.752171 10.876270
2026-04-05 1.236339 1.538014 1.958705 2.630277 3.779146 5.954623 11.692414